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Table III

Results of generalized linear models (GLMs), showing the best set of explanatory variables explaining sapling presence/absence as response variable for the south-facing juniper habitat (AS), the north-facing habitat (AN) and both habitats pooled, using AIC (Akaike information criterion) best set selection and Binominal distribution with logistic link function. Models explained 20.1%, 26.1% and 18.8%, respectively, of the total deviance.

Parameter estimates Model building results


Afur South Estimate SE Wald’s χ2 p AIC p
Distance to nearest adult tree 0.004 0.002 6.663 0.009 115.16 < 0.0001
Soil depth -0.123 0.053 5.510 0.019
Shrub cover –0.027 0.013 4.600 0.032

Afur North
Distance to NAT 0.003 0.001 7.112 0.007 95.76 < 0.0001
Cone density on the ground –0.008 0.004 4.497 0.034
Shrub cover –0.029 0.014 4.440 0.035
Bare soil 0.033 0.016 4.069 0.044

Pooled data
Distance to nearest adult tree 0.003 0.001 16.338 < 0.001 213.50 < 0.0001
Shrub cover –0.024 0.009 7.388 0.007
Cone density on the ground –0.006 0.003 4.450 0.035
Soil depth –0.061 0.031 3.750 0.053