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Table II

Contrasts for the autoregressive (AR) and Markov models, including total initial and effective sample size calculated from each model, F values and significance. Mean cover difference (%) between contrasted treatments with a positive sign indicates that shrub cover was greater after the disturbance denoted with a (+) than the one with a (–) in the contrasts.

AR model Markov model Mean cover difference (%)

F p-value F p-value
Contrast 1: PF (+) vs. RPF(–) 893.83 < 0.001 508.99 < 0.001 +9.6
Contrast 2: 20 WF (+) vs. 5 WF (–) 776.53 < 0.001 170.27 < 0.001 +13.8
Contrast 3: PF (+) vs. 5 WF (–) 1377.01 < 0.001 1240.78 < 0.001 +6.4
Contrast 4: RPF (+) vs. 5 WF (–) 81.02 < 0.001 135.30 < 0.001 +2.4

Initial sample size (n) 10000 10000
Effective sample size (n′) 8305 6855

PF: prescribed burning; RPF: repeated prescribed burning; 20 WF: wildfire in 20-year-old shrubs; 5 WF: wildfire in 5-year-old shrubs.